Nine Scenarios for North Korea Internal Development

Ⅰ. Three possible Developments of the Nuclear Issue and their Impact on North Korea's Change. 1. A stalemate focusing on the ROK's North Korea policy and the inter-Korean relations in 2003 2. A Case of Progress toward Resolving the Nuclear Issue 3. A Case of Stepwise Sanctions against North Korea Ⅱ. Directions of Political Change and their Impacts on North Korea's State Capability III. Medium to Long-Term Prospect: Nine different Scenarios IV. Conclusion

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