The Perceptions of Northeast Asia’s Four States on Korean Unification

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Summary This paper analyzes the perceptions of the United States (U.S.), China, Japan, and Russia on the issues of the division of the Korean Peninsula and a South Korea-led unification based on a survey conducted on experts in the respective countries. Each country’s five experts on the Korean Peninsula (total of 20 experts) presented their in-depth views on a list of eight questions including (1) the costs and benefits of the division as well as unification, (2) the international community’s efforts for unification, and (3) the value of a unified Korea. In order to compile a balanced view, the authors of this paper have taken into consideration the affiliation, age, political tendency, etc when selecting the experts. The first chapter describes the purpose and background of the study. The following four chapters on the analysis of the U.S., China, Japan, and Russia’s perceptions on the division of the Peninsula as well as its unification are each composed of three parts. First, the costs and benefits incurred to the respective states on its military security, economic, and socio-cultural fields are analyzed with respect to (1) the costs it bears owing to the division of the Peninsula, (2) the positive effects that unification brings and (3) the negative effects that unification entails. In addition, it also suggests the prerequisite conditions needed to minimize the negative effects of unification on each state, and addresses specific means to achieve them. Second, the paper also looks at each state’s

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