Variables and pathways of changes in North Korea

1. Purpose of the Research 72. Concepts and Combination of Two Variables: “Nuclear Issues" and "Reform·Opening" 113. Historical Experiences from North Korea’s Nuclear Policy 154. Historical Experiences of North Korea’s Reform‧Opening Policy 235. Type 1: Ideal Type of North Korea’s ‘Denuclearization +Reform‧Opening’ 336. Type 2: A Highly Likely Scenario of North Korea’s ‘Nuclear Freeze+Opening’ 397. Type 3: Maintaining the Status Quo of North Korea’s ‘Nuclear Advancement+Self-reliance (Hold-up of Reform ‧Opening)’ 458. Implications from Comparison to Cases of Foreign Countries: Pakistan and China 519. Policy Implications for Each Type 59A. Policy Implications of Type 1 61B. Policy Implications of Type 2 63C. Policy Implications of Type 3 6710. Overall Prospects and Responsive Measures 71A. Overall Prospects 73B. Response Measure of the First Stage 74C. Response Measure of the Second Stage 78D. Response Measure of the Third Stage 80

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